UFC predictions
Sat, Nov 14, 2026Madison Square Garden, New York City, New YorkCard starts 5:00 PM ET · 2:00 PM PT · 10:00 PM UKLive odds · updated 28 min ago
Predictions for every fight
Win chance from the betting odds
CageOracle picks
CirylGane
14-2 (1 NC) · −204
Heavyweight title
Model AI 63%Experts 23–9 Heavyweight title
JoshHokit
+162 · 10-0
KaylaHarrison
19-1 · −185
Women's Bantamweight title
Model AI 58%Experts 13–11 Women's Bantamweight title
AmandaNunes
+147 · 23-5
CaioBorralho
18-2 (1 NC) · −156
Middleweight
Model AI 61%Experts 10–9 Middleweight · Line moving to Borralho
YousriBelgaroui
+129 · 11-3
UrosMedic
14-3 · −154
Welterweight
Model AI 55%Experts 13–5 Welterweight · Line moving to Medic
KevinHolland
+130 · 29-15 (1 NC)
StephenThompson
17-9-1 · −157
Welterweight
Model 54%AI 35%Experts 14–7 Welterweight
CharlesRadtke
+132 · 12-5
ChrisDuncan
15-3 · −182
Lightweight
Model 67%AI 63%Experts 12–8 Lightweight
DrewDober
+150 · 29-15 (1 NC)
TerranceMcKinney
18-9 · −225
Lightweight
Model 70%AI 60%Experts 10–9 Lightweight
JimMiller
+180 · 39-19 (1 NC)
DonteJohnson
9-0 · −177
Middleweight
Model 69%AI 70%Experts 11–7 Middleweight
CesarAlmeida
+144 · 7-3
MelquizaelCosta
26-8 · −385
Lightweight
Model 79%AI 65%Experts 19–1 Lightweight · Line moving to Costa
JaredGordon
+295 · 21-9 (1 NC)
BiaMesquita
8-0 · −250
Women's Bantamweight
Model 73%AI 68%Experts 18–1 Women's Bantamweight
MacyChiasson
+205 · 11-6
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Main card
CirylGane
14-2 (1 NC) · −204
Heavyweight title
Model AI 63%Experts 23–9 Heavyweight title
JoshHokit
+162 · 10-0
KaylaHarrison
19-1 · −185
Women's Bantamweight title
Model AI 58%Experts 13–11 Women's Bantamweight title
AmandaNunes
+147 · 23-5
CaioBorralho
18-2 (1 NC) · −156
Middleweight
Model AI 61%Experts 10–9 Middleweight · Line moving to Borralho
YousriBelgaroui
+129 · 11-3
UrosMedic
14-3 · −154
Welterweight
Model AI 55%Experts 13–5 Welterweight · Line moving to Medic
KevinHolland
+130 · 29-15 (1 NC)
Prelims
StephenThompson
17-9-1 · −157
Welterweight
Model 54%AI 35%Experts 14–7 Welterweight
CharlesRadtke
+132 · 12-5
ChrisDuncan
15-3 · −182
Lightweight
Model 67%AI 63%Experts 12–8 Lightweight
DrewDober
+150 · 29-15 (1 NC)
TerranceMcKinney
18-9 · −225
Lightweight
Model 70%AI 60%Experts 10–9 Lightweight
JimMiller
+180 · 39-19 (1 NC)
DonteJohnson
9-0 · −177
Middleweight
Model 69%AI 70%Experts 11–7 Middleweight
CesarAlmeida
+144 · 7-3
Early prelims
MelquizaelCosta
26-8 · −385
Lightweight
Model 79%AI 65%Experts 19–1 Lightweight · Line moving to Costa
JaredGordon
+295 · 21-9 (1 NC)
BiaMesquita
8-0 · −250
Women's Bantamweight
Model 73%AI 68%Experts 18–1 Women's Bantamweight
MacyChiasson
+205 · 11-6
Fight week
Fills in as the week goes on
Line moves
Gane 69% → 64%
The biggest move on the card since Oct 12. 2 fights have moved 5 points or more.Every line on Odds Watch →
Polymarket money
$1102k bet this week
The biggest single bet: $576k on Gane at 64%.Polymarket Watch →
Experts
39 experts have picked
The most one-sided: 15 of 15 take Diaz. The closest: 9–9 on Sanches vs Elder.Every pick on Diaz vs Alatengheili →
AI crowd
Radtke 65%
Their biggest difference from the odds: the market has Radtke at 41%.How the AIs saw the card →
Model vs market
The model backs every favorite
The biggest gap: 8 points on Johnson, 69% to the market's 61%. The main card's numbers are free with an account.Johnson vs Almeida →
Fight news
All fight news →
AI crowd · UFC 334: Gane vs. Hokit · Nov 14, 2026
AI crowd picks Gane at UFC 334: Gane vs. Hokit and breaks with the odds on Thompson
All 10 AI forecasters picked Ciryl Gane to beat Josh Hokit, at 63%. They were just as united in picking Charles Radtke over Stephen Thompson, the betting market's favourite.
Fight week · UFC 334: Gane vs. Hokit · Nov 14, 2026
UFC 334: Gane is -235 vs Hokit, but our model sees a closer fight
The heavyweight title line has moved a long way since it opened. Here's where our numbers part with the market, what to watch in Harrison vs Nunes and Medic vs Holland, and when it all starts.
Preview · UFC 334: Gane vs. Hokit · Nov 14, 2026
Gane vs Hokit: the champion's reach against the heavyweight who sprints at you
Josh Hokit went from UFC debut to a heavyweight title shot in a year by breaking opponents with pace. At UFC 334, Ciryl Gane has the reach, the jab and the body attack to make that pace expensive.
MMA world news
All MMA world news →
Nov 12, 2026
Alistair Overeem to make pro boxing debut against Jimi Manuwa in Dubai on Dec. 24
MVP has booked the two former UFC fighters, both 46, for six rounds at heavyweight on the Jake Paul vs. Cedric Doumbé card.
Nov 12, 2026
Unbeaten UFC featherweight Tommy McMillen given Narcan after being found unresponsive
Police say officers gave the 12-0 prospect Narcan after finding him unresponsive in a Scottsdale nightclub bathroom on Sunday. His coach says he is fine and back in training. The UFC hasn't commented.
Nov 12, 2026
Abu Dhabi police arrest 10 over Dvalishvili-Nurmagomedov brawl; Usman out of RAF event
Police have referred eight people from Wednesday's hotel fight, and two who filmed it, to prosecutors without naming anyone. RAF says Usman Nurmagomedov won't attend Saturday's event, and Merab Dvalishvili's match is in doubt.
Coming up
Full UFC schedule →Every card ufc.com has announced, with the fight card, start times and odds as the books post them.
UFC Fight Night: Prochazka vs. StirlingJiri Prochazka vs Navajo Stirling
Sat, Nov 21, 2026 · main card 1 PM ETABHA Arena, Doha, Qatar
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. MagomedovIsrael Adesanya vs Shara Magomedov
Sat, Dec 5, 2026 · main card 1 PM ETRiyadh, Saudi Arabia
UFC 335: Oliveira vs. LopesCharles Oliveira vs Diego Lopes · title fight
Sat, Dec 12, 2026T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, Nevada
UFC 336: Van vs. KapeJoshua Van vs Manel Kape · title fight
Sat, Jan 30, 2027Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, Canada
UFC Fight Night: Salkilld vs. Saint DenisQuillan Salkilld vs Benoit Saint Denis
Sat, Feb 6, 2027Afterpay Arena, Sydney, Australia